Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 170.006694 196.540909 226.901610 264.439117 309.915761 363.625646 432.450470
2025-08-17 134.157919 167.580563 209.732121 267.661196 346.585433 452.433781 608.775654
2025-08-24 112.652478 148.214294 196.140369 267.104341 372.449003 528.067306 785.477294
2025-08-31 98.214035 134.509351 186.031810 267.025473 396.075091 603.054201 981.496268
2025-09-07 88.709525 125.731218 180.695402 271.779332 426.474072 694.254054 1233.347914
2025-09-14 77.770382 113.104322 167.376656 261.046925 428.325041 736.235346 1407.768372
2025-09-21 71.068208 105.966397 161.375146 260.931849 447.936127 814.605021 1685.017746
2025-09-28 65.872378 100.497424 157.185925 262.964979 471.486421 906.359362 2030.591433
2025-10-05 63.844656 99.872521 160.882173 279.626036 526.896018 1080.887005 2667.540127
2025-10-12 61.718244 98.781313 163.525808 294.604323 582.186999 1273.146601 3468.166622
2025-10-19 57.547785 93.682116 158.284907 293.027617 600.728723 1381.656617 4079.727289
2025-10-26 54.833884 90.873888 156.910613 299.106393 638.271720 1552.938766 5031.571748
2025-11-02 51.156229 86.300193 152.297953 299.071700 665.169944 1717.447115 6159.827862
2025-11-09 48.200426 82.815159 149.494375 302.881897 704.122043 1940.241133 7812.973743
2025-11-16 45.140876 78.801228 145.099996 302.237720 731.223798 2139.720584 9631.095966
2025-11-23 42.471430 75.264324 141.234500 302.146183 760.105310 2362.172553 11940.567702
2025-11-30 40.548388 73.001776 139.764788 307.682315 807.646792 2684.144346 15532.186939
2025-12-07 37.397676 67.977613 131.748293 295.188853 795.673659 2759.804245 17464.615172
2025-12-14 35.477398 65.304613 128.632506 295.054992 824.274919 3031.977518 21797.591592
2025-12-21 33.902490 63.206488 126.569845 297.420321 862.463124 3377.553627 27995.923048
2025-12-28 33.547619 63.643615 130.371437 316.827738 968.574784 4155.451277 42917.306292
2026-01-04 33.037748 63.693529 133.265809 334.310538 1075.359523 5052.152012 66039.689854
2026-01-11 31.465139 61.270525 129.903002 332.468648 1104.870878 5510.558916 84975.800592